He’s claimed before that he honestly believes it each year by watching the progress the past X months, but suddenly all progress stops as their method hits a plateau. So they keep changing methods.
It’s probably an honest mistake the first time or two, but he’s done this every year since and has no credibility anymore.
After being wrong by a year or two, he should have explained what was going in, and shut up about it, with a simple I don’t know when it’ll be ready but you should see forward progress each year.
There are plenty of bosses like him out there. Completely high on their own shit. He reads about technology in a sci-fi book, and thinks he can Steve Jobs into bullying workers into making it a reality. Completely deludes himself into thinking it’s real and sells it to investors with full confidence. He has no idea of the actual technical challenges and fully convinces himself his genius brain could figure it out if he wasn’t so “busy” all the time. Everything is perpetually just 6 months away.
The worst part is that he doesn’t even understand the sci-fi he consumes. He said this not too long ago:
Grok is an AI modeled after The Hitchhiker’s Guide to the Galaxy, so intended to answer almost anything and, far harder, even suggest what questions to ask!
Every AI in the Hitchhiker’s Guide to the Galaxy was broken, an asshole or both. Douglas Adams clearly thought the idea of a “human-like” AI was abhorrent. Especially one developed by a giant corporation.
Also, he thinks the name of the main character in Blade Runner is “Bladerunner.”
True, and since part of the meaning of grok in the book was ‘to love,’ naming your “anti-woke” AI after that suggests he also didn’t understand that book.
Funny how rich people can get away with that. I could say I fully believe I’m going to win $50 million in the lottery next week, but a bunch of shit I can’t pay for, and probably wind up jailed pretty shortly thereafter and nobody would bat an eye. Rich guy selling vaporware? No problem, he just believed his own hype train. Sorry, investors.
It can do that now. Probably not with zero driver interventions especially when talking about a trip across the country but Tesla is the only vehicle manufacturer today that offers this capability. There’s a dude on YouTube doing ridesharing with Tesla using FSD and with the latest software version it completes 90% of the trips from the pickup to the destination without intervention from the driver.
Musk also said more safely than a human being. I’ve seen videos with FSD creating numerous dangerous situations on a single trip, that required quick intervention to avoid collisions. Driving in narrow roads it would suddenly turn into opposite traffic (potentially lethal), not minding right of way in crosses (also potentially lethal), and even turning straight towards parked cars, when the lane it was in was unobstructed!!
Another video I saw, it crossed at a very clear red light!! That’s a very potentially lethal situation.
There is no way it can be reasonably argued that Tesla has working full self driving.
it completes 90% of the trips
You know 90% isn’t even close to being half finished. The next 9% are probably more difficult, and the last percent the most difficult. There’s a reason the hard parts are finished last.
I don’t see anyone claiming they have “working full self driving”. That’s a strawman argument. Their system is really good and years ahead of competition but there’s still a shit ton to improve. That’s why it’s classified as level 2 and not level 3. It’s a vehicle capable of driving itself under supervision but it’s not a self driving vehicle.
I’ve seen videos with FSD creating numerous dangerous situations on a single trip
In the past few months? Because the current software version is completely different than what it used to be. They’ve moved entirely from human code to neural nets and it made a giant improvement in its performance.
I don’t see anyone claiming they have “working full self driving”
The whole thread is about Musk claiming in 2019 that Tesla has FSD working NOW, that could drive the car from a parking lot on the other side of the country (USA) and pick you up in a parking lot where you are. AND that it could drive more safely than a human being.
I am not interested in the slightest whether it’s 50% or 90% there now, the fact is the claim was made first in 2016, that Tesla would have it ready NEXT YEAR, and in 2019 he claimed it was ready NOW! And it’s STILL not ready!!
So what is it about Musks claims being false you don’t understand?
I don’t see anyone claiming they have “working full self driving”.
That’s decidedly false, because you yourself wrote:
The whole thread is about Musk claiming in 2019 that Tesla has FSD working NOW
From the article:
(1) representations that Tesla vehicles have the hardware needed for full self-driving capability and, (2) representations that a Tesla car would be able to drive itself cross-country in the coming year.
So not only are you clearly emotionally invested here but you’re also being dishonest about the claims that have been made. I don’t think there’s any reason to go further with this.
“Their system is really good and years ahead of competition but there’s still a shit ton to improve”
Is it years ahead of the competition? I thought the consensus was that Tesla is far behind, hence why Mercedes is the first brand to actually have some basic level 3 automomus driving actually to customers, and companies other than tesla are actually doing tests with robo taxis. Tesla is good at claiming it can do the above, other companies are the ones actually doing it.
And indeed, there’s a shit ton to improve, which directly contradicts statements Elon Musk made, and keeps making. As others already pointed out, calling it Full Self Driving while letting it do that is basically suicide is just the beginning. Elon Musk regularly repeating that it’s there, it works etc… only to leave customers waiting for nearly 8 years now with a system that is not what Elon described, etc…
Self driving is really hard, Tesla made some good progress on it, but Elon continuously lying about it should indeed get legal consequences. I’m hope this lawsuit teaches him to actually talk about things he actually knows are true, and not just what he wishes was true.
I thought the consensus was that Tesla is far behind, hence why Mercedes is the first brand to actually have some basic level 3 automomus driving actually to customers
Yeah that seems to be the consensus but I have no idea what it’s based on. When the Mercedes system is put against FSD it looks like this. The level 3 driving is available only on a handful of highways between LA, SF and LV and even then only in ideal weather and traffic conditions.
If the competition really is ahead then where are all the videos of their vehicles doing what FSD does? There are countless accounts on YouTube demonstrating the capabilities of FSD driving both on highways and in cities but nothing about these other brands.
No it was not, we have testimony from employees that FSD wasn’t even close to what Musk claimed. And it can’t even do it today.
Just because you can flip a switch that says FSD doesn’t mean it works.
Forget Tesla dude! Trust me I’m from the year 2024. In just a few months your world will change drastically and everyone will start getting 😷 sick and wearing a mask. We called it COVID 19 and it was bad. Real bad. The only way to fight this pandemic was to isolate as much as possible until a vaccine was made available. The markets never crashed like Trump suggested… almost as if he knew something was happening…you must invest all your money on moderna and Pfizer vaccine related stocks. Anyway, that’s all I remember. Paxlovid was okay but not a vaccine. Wow, Lemmy let’s you time travel! We need to invest into this technology!
Uh-huh… There is a long, LONG list of bullshit that he believed, and continues to believe. There comes a point where we either have to accept that he has the mental level of a 5 year old believing in Santa Claus, or that he is a narcissistic compulsive liar.
I think he truly believed all that. He did not lie, he was wrong about the future. Or at least that would be his legal defense.
He’s claimed before that he honestly believes it each year by watching the progress the past X months, but suddenly all progress stops as their method hits a plateau. So they keep changing methods.
It’s probably an honest mistake the first time or two, but he’s done this every year since and has no credibility anymore.
After being wrong by a year or two, he should have explained what was going in, and shut up about it, with a simple I don’t know when it’ll be ready but you should see forward progress each year.
He is a smart guy and an idiot at the same time. I don’t know how it fits in the same person. He is not neurotypical.
aww, he’s a smidiot. That’s idiartic, Elon! ;)
He’s not smart he is just in the elite club where he fails upwards, his name will be cemented beside DJ Khaled for most successful failure
get born rich
fail like a bitch
That’s Elon
There are plenty of bosses like him out there. Completely high on their own shit. He reads about technology in a sci-fi book, and thinks he can Steve Jobs into bullying workers into making it a reality. Completely deludes himself into thinking it’s real and sells it to investors with full confidence. He has no idea of the actual technical challenges and fully convinces himself his genius brain could figure it out if he wasn’t so “busy” all the time. Everything is perpetually just 6 months away.
The worst part is that he doesn’t even understand the sci-fi he consumes. He said this not too long ago:
Every AI in the Hitchhiker’s Guide to the Galaxy was broken, an asshole or both. Douglas Adams clearly thought the idea of a “human-like” AI was abhorrent. Especially one developed by a giant corporation.
Also, he thinks the name of the main character in Blade Runner is “Bladerunner.”
https://futurism.com/the-byte/elon-musk-main-character-blade-runner
And the word grok comes from stranger in a strange land, not hitchhikers guide.
True, and since part of the meaning of grok in the book was ‘to love,’ naming your “anti-woke” AI after that suggests he also didn’t understand that book.
Wow, I’m a huge fan of Hitchhikers guide to the galaxy, and I never really thought of that, but you are 100% right.
Wonderful comment thanks. 👍 😀
I don’t think he meant an AI from the book, I think he meant the actual Hitchhiker’s Guide. The one that says don’t panic on the cover
Funny how rich people can get away with that. I could say I fully believe I’m going to win $50 million in the lottery next week, but a bunch of shit I can’t pay for, and probably wind up jailed pretty shortly thereafter and nobody would bat an eye. Rich guy selling vaporware? No problem, he just believed his own hype train. Sorry, investors.
Except he claimed Tesla had the technology working NOW in 2019. Which is a factually false statement not about beliefs.
depends how you define “working” i suppose.
can a tesla drive its full range automomously? probably…
should it? probably not
Musk defined it himself, as the car being able to drive autonomously from a parking lot across the country to pick you up in another parking lot.
It can do that now. Probably not with zero driver interventions especially when talking about a trip across the country but Tesla is the only vehicle manufacturer today that offers this capability. There’s a dude on YouTube doing ridesharing with Tesla using FSD and with the latest software version it completes 90% of the trips from the pickup to the destination without intervention from the driver.
OK? Doubts.
Oh so it can’t?!
Musk also said more safely than a human being. I’ve seen videos with FSD creating numerous dangerous situations on a single trip, that required quick intervention to avoid collisions. Driving in narrow roads it would suddenly turn into opposite traffic (potentially lethal), not minding right of way in crosses (also potentially lethal), and even turning straight towards parked cars, when the lane it was in was unobstructed!!
Another video I saw, it crossed at a very clear red light!! That’s a very potentially lethal situation.
There is no way it can be reasonably argued that Tesla has working full self driving.
You know 90% isn’t even close to being half finished. The next 9% are probably more difficult, and the last percent the most difficult. There’s a reason the hard parts are finished last.
I don’t see anyone claiming they have “working full self driving”. That’s a strawman argument. Their system is really good and years ahead of competition but there’s still a shit ton to improve. That’s why it’s classified as level 2 and not level 3. It’s a vehicle capable of driving itself under supervision but it’s not a self driving vehicle.
In the past few months? Because the current software version is completely different than what it used to be. They’ve moved entirely from human code to neural nets and it made a giant improvement in its performance.
The whole thread is about Musk claiming in 2019 that Tesla has FSD working NOW, that could drive the car from a parking lot on the other side of the country (USA) and pick you up in a parking lot where you are. AND that it could drive more safely than a human being.
I am not interested in the slightest whether it’s 50% or 90% there now, the fact is the claim was made first in 2016, that Tesla would have it ready NEXT YEAR, and in 2019 he claimed it was ready NOW! And it’s STILL not ready!!
So what is it about Musks claims being false you don’t understand?
That’s decidedly false, because you yourself wrote:
From the article:
So not only are you clearly emotionally invested here but you’re also being dishonest about the claims that have been made. I don’t think there’s any reason to go further with this.
… They’re literally calling it “Full self driving”.
…and I don’t see anyone claiming it to be “working” as in it being safe enough to not need supervision.
“Their system is really good and years ahead of competition but there’s still a shit ton to improve”
Is it years ahead of the competition? I thought the consensus was that Tesla is far behind, hence why Mercedes is the first brand to actually have some basic level 3 automomus driving actually to customers, and companies other than tesla are actually doing tests with robo taxis. Tesla is good at claiming it can do the above, other companies are the ones actually doing it.
And indeed, there’s a shit ton to improve, which directly contradicts statements Elon Musk made, and keeps making. As others already pointed out, calling it Full Self Driving while letting it do that is basically suicide is just the beginning. Elon Musk regularly repeating that it’s there, it works etc… only to leave customers waiting for nearly 8 years now with a system that is not what Elon described, etc…
Self driving is really hard, Tesla made some good progress on it, but Elon continuously lying about it should indeed get legal consequences. I’m hope this lawsuit teaches him to actually talk about things he actually knows are true, and not just what he wishes was true.
Yeah that seems to be the consensus but I have no idea what it’s based on. When the Mercedes system is put against FSD it looks like this. The level 3 driving is available only on a handful of highways between LA, SF and LV and even then only in ideal weather and traffic conditions.
If the competition really is ahead then where are all the videos of their vehicles doing what FSD does? There are countless accounts on YouTube demonstrating the capabilities of FSD driving both on highways and in cities but nothing about these other brands.
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and they could do that in theory, just not very safely
In theory is not the same as actually being able to do it, which was what he clearly claimed saying: And we can do that NOW.
Its only not possible on consumer models because of restrictions put in place by tesla.
As evidenced by Elon mode
A tesla can drive its self, but it doesnt because of regulatory/safety/liability reasons
No it was not, we have testimony from employees that FSD wasn’t even close to what Musk claimed. And it can’t even do it today.
Just because you can flip a switch that says FSD doesn’t mean it works.
Again, we’re arguing about the definition of “working” which was my original point.
Can it self drive? yes
Should it? no
Are you debating just to debate, or do you just fail to see the obvious issue?
Forget Tesla dude! Trust me I’m from the year 2024. In just a few months your world will change drastically and everyone will start getting 😷 sick and wearing a mask. We called it COVID 19 and it was bad. Real bad. The only way to fight this pandemic was to isolate as much as possible until a vaccine was made available. The markets never crashed like Trump suggested… almost as if he knew something was happening…you must invest all your money on moderna and Pfizer vaccine related stocks. Anyway, that’s all I remember. Paxlovid was okay but not a vaccine. Wow, Lemmy let’s you time travel! We need to invest into this technology!
And that would is probably one of the indicators of why lawsuit is allowed to proceed and might be won in the end.
Yeah. He explicitly stated that the only thing stopping them flipping the switch were those damn pesky road laws
Which I’m sure was true. It would certainly be a lot faster to debug FSD after a number of deaths for each bug.
I really believed that…
Uh-huh… There is a long, LONG list of bullshit that he believed, and continues to believe. There comes a point where we either have to accept that he has the mental level of a 5 year old believing in Santa Claus, or that he is a narcissistic compulsive liar.