The Morning Joe panel discusses recent 2024 presidential polling, including new NYT polling that has former President Trump leading President Biden in five swing states.
The Morning Joe panel discusses recent 2024 presidential polling, including new NYT polling that has former President Trump leading President Biden in five swing states.
Special elections have a smaller turnout that skews towards the more politically active, which means it skews towards the more educated, which means it skews Democrat. And some of these special elections had literally less than 10,000 people voting.
It doesn’t explain everything, but I would not look at the special elections as a bellwether for the general.
A special election in deep red Alabama going to a Democrat woman that specifically ran on abortion access may not be a “bellweather”, but it’s absolutely an alarm for the #fascist #GOP.
But yes, the beating polls by 9+ points at the ballot box is the important part.
I’m not discounting their importance, but we need to put them in context